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	<title>A Second Hand Conjecture &#187; recession</title>
	<atom:link href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/tag/recession/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com</link>
	<description>Questions through the veil of ignorance</description>
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		<title>The Rise of Decline</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2009/01/04/the-rise-of-decline/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2009/01/04/the-rise-of-decline/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2009 04:42:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1960s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1970s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1987]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American power]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Americans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[British Empire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Declinism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreign policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[futurism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hegemony]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[London Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matthew Parris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Kennedy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retirement home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Nixon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rise and Fall of the Great Powers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Soviet Union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=6651</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You know you&#8217;re in an American recession when British observers start reflecting on the inevitability of American decline, and volunteering their allegedly privileged perspective gained from the fall of the British Empire (Mark Steyn, as always, excepted). So it is &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2009/01/04/the-rise-of-decline/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Joys of the Recession Vacation</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/09/the-joys-of-the-recession-vacation/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/09/the-joys-of-the-recession-vacation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 09 Nov 2008 14:50:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASHC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bikinis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Catch-22]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cocktail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fire sale prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Florida]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hotels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[miami]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[palm tree]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession vacation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[south florida]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vacation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=6199</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Don&#8217;t complain to me if there aren&#8217;t any new posts on ASHC. I&#8217;m sitting on a beach in Miami and thus completely out of the necessary frame of mind to bitch about Obama and triumph of statism. Now, these other &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/09/the-joys-of-the-recession-vacation/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Three Banks to Rule the World</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/06/three-banks-to-rule-the-world/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/06/three-banks-to-rule-the-world/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 18:36:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[domestic deposits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JP Morgan Chase]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[superbanks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wells Fargo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=6122</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The winners of the global financial turmoil look to be three American &#8216;superbanks&#8217;: JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. The institutions have all grown to occupy such a predominant position in the marketplace, that all three recently &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/06/three-banks-to-rule-the-world/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Post-Post-American World</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/01/the-post-post-american-world/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/01/the-post-post-american-world/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Nov 2008 13:10:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1990]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Emmott]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dictatorship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[petrocracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[post-American]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[post-post-american]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomas P.M. Barnett]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=5983</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So, did you enjoy the much discussed post-American world order? Hope you didn&#8217;t miss it. Surely it didn&#8217;t lack for advertising. But if you did happen to step out for a moment, we just lived through the end of market &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/11/01/the-post-post-american-world/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Economy Makes Me Nervous As Well</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/07/04/the-economy-makes-me-nervous-as-well/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/07/04/the-economy-makes-me-nervous-as-well/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jul 2008 16:07:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lance</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lance's Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bush Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=3020</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yeah, this is kind of funny, if in a dancing on gravestones kind of way. I hate to continue to beat an old drum, but the economic data is showing far less stress than is actually out there. Employment is &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/07/04/the-economy-makes-me-nervous-as-well/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Is The Evidence In On Minimum Wage?</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/06/09/is-the-evidence-in-on-minimum-wage/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/06/09/is-the-evidence-in-on-minimum-wage/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2008 22:13:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>MichaelW</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MichaelW's Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[college students]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[labor force]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[low-wage workers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[May 2008 unemployment rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[minimum wage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[teens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2977</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When the most recent unemployment numbers were released, the media bleated about the highest percentage increase in the jobless rate since 1986. For example, The New York Times lamented: The unemployment rate surged to 5.5 percent in May from 5 &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/06/09/is-the-evidence-in-on-minimum-wage/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Moral, Yet Alluring</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/02/09/moral-yet-alluring/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/02/09/moral-yet-alluring/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Feb 2008 03:34:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ann Coulter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[God]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hezbollah]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hillary Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Huckabee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sam Brownback]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2455</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[photo: Steve Kaiser Have you ever taken a moment to read some of the many Huckabee blogs that have sprung up over the past months? They&#8217;re really quite strange. For instance, here is a snippet from a Blogs 4 Huckabee &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/02/09/moral-yet-alluring/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Harley Report</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/25/the-harley-report/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/25/the-harley-report/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 20:56:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lance</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Harley Davidson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HOG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[luxury goods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[motorcycles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2271</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As I noted earlier, Dale Franks was curious about how Harley Davidson (HOG) would do on its latest earnings release: One earnings report to watch this week, though, is Harley-Davidson (HOG). It’s a solid company with a loyal customer base—I’m &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/25/the-harley-report/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Today&#8217;s links: Washington tries to step up</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/18/todays-links-washington-tries-to-step-up/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/18/todays-links-washington-tries-to-step-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2008 03:08:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lance</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lance's Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMBAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[behavioral finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[clowns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emerging Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MBIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merrill Lynch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moody's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2116</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ (cross posted at Risk and Return) Ben Bernanke gives Congress and the President the green light to take steps to stimulate the economy along with a warning: Fortunately, the Fed has some ideas on what they should&#8211;and shouldn&#8217;t&#8211;do. Bernanke&#8217;s remarks &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/18/todays-links-washington-tries-to-step-up/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Mildest Recession?</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/17/the-mildest-recession/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/17/the-mildest-recession/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Jan 2008 08:31:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Around the Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Perry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Morgan Stanley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Morgan Stanley expects a &#8220;mild and short&#8221; recession in 2008, with peak unemployment of 5.6% or 5.7% in early 2009. Mark Perry points out that would make it the mildest and shallowest recession since the second world war.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Rumors of Recession</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/16/rumors-of-recession/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/16/rumors-of-recession/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jan 2008 02:30:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Around the Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hyundai]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Superbowl]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2076</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Hyundai is contemplating pulling its Superbowl advertising, citing sudden concerns about US economic indicators. Traditionally ad budgets are the first to go when firms start believing they&#8217;re entering a recession. Not the most encouraging news of the day.]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Today&#8217;s links: The Housing Market</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/15/todays-links-the-housing-market/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/15/todays-links-the-housing-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jan 2008 17:05:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lance</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lance's Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Claifornia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lennar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Massachusetts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merrill Lynch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Morgan Stanley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[OFHEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shiller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Lyon Homes]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2054</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(cross posted at Risk and Return) Paper Economy has taken a close look at what it will take to get inflation adjusted housing prices in Massachusetts back to trend over a five year period. It should be noted that for &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/15/todays-links-the-housing-market/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A Mid Cycle Slowdown</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/15/a-mid-cycle-slowdown/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/15/a-mid-cycle-slowdown/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jan 2008 03:05:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lance</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Around the Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[employment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mid cycle slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[unemployment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://asecondhandconjecture.com/?p=2049</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Many people argue that we are experiencing no more than a mid-cycle slowdown. Certainly that was a potential outcome I considered likely if a full blown recession didn&#8217;t occur. The recent job numbers on the surface can certainly provide a &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/15/a-mid-cycle-slowdown/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Is Fiscal Stimulus the Answer? -updated</title>
		<link>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/11/is-fiscal-stimulus-the-answer/</link>
		<comments>http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/11/is-fiscal-stimulus-the-answer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jan 2008 17:13:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lance</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Tabarrok]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Larry Summers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tax cuts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tax policy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The economy is slowing, and if we are not already in a recession (I think we probably are) the risks of one are certainly high. So should our politicians do something with fiscal policy? Alex Tabarrok says no : Fourth, &#8230; <a href="http://asecondhandconjecture.com/index.php/2008/01/11/is-fiscal-stimulus-the-answer/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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