Tag Archives: polls

Have National Politics Urbanized?

For those of us not living in the concentrated sprawl of the coastal and Midwestern metropoli, it is often extremely perplexing how urban Democratic mayors in places like Chicago and Philadelphia can compile lengthy and embarrassing records of incompetent and … Continue reading

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Obama Makes Big Gains

Obama puts up some significant gains in both the Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls today. Gallup data suggests undecideds are breaking for Obama, while Rasmussen data seems to suggest a strengthening of Democratic party support. Take your pick I suppose.

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Russian Imperialism and the Election

(photo: Chris Dunn) John Bolton argues that the future of Russian imperialism in Eurasia rides on the outcome of the US presidential election. Unsurprisingly, he pitches McCain: “First reactions, before the campaigns’ pollsters and consultants get involved are always the … Continue reading

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End of Presidency Job Approvals

Approval ratings for recent presidents at the end of their final terms. Bush will presumably end somewhere in Carter’s 1980 territory. (About.com) Lest that depress McCain supporters, such measures can of course be highly misleading in predicting general election outcomes … Continue reading

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Underdogism Redefined

Leftblogger Darryl Holman has calculated the probability of Obama winning the electoral college based on (somewhat) recent state polls to be 98.7%. If you think that’s rough, on Friday he had at it 100%.

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Mysterious McCain

The bewilderment the press is expressing at the supposed impossibility of McCain’s progress in the polls is starting to get embarrassing. Beneath it there is the frustrated lament: “But we told you to vote Obama. Why aren’t you complying?”

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Touring the Low Road

The Obama campaign has a new video response to McCain. It’s an interesting approach. The heart of the ad is the beginning, in which quotes from major pro-Obama media editorials are superimposed over McCain, calling his (unspecified) criticism “baseless,” “baloney,” … Continue reading

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The Politics of Personal Destruction

The Politico notes a rather amateurish effort from Hillary Clinton: Obama campaign manager David Plouffe accused the Clinton campaign Monday of “shameful offensive fear-mongering” by circulating a photo as an attempted smear. Plouffe was reacting to a banner headline on … Continue reading

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Intervention Needed

I’m disappointed with the emerging results in the GOP primaries too (the Nightmare Ticket is near), but I’m actually starting to worry about Mr. Hewitt: “McCain can’t be considered a frontrunner by any conventional standard.” Except in polls, wins, and … Continue reading

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