Tag Archive 'campaign'

Cocktail Politics, Rio Rancho Office Space and Truman Republicans

It occurs to me that the sequence of cocktails is the best political indicator I know of on election night. In 2004 I was attending a Democratic election party and early on everyone was drinking wine and martinis in stemware, or beer and soda in tall glasses. The ambiance befit the beverages: general levity and young merriment. Sporty coquettish girls with wide white toothy smiles dominated all conversations.

But when it became clear that the exit polls predicting a Kerry victory were wildly mistaken, and field reports were coming in on cell phones of Karl Rove’s successful mobilization effort, it wasn’t long before the assembled Democrats had exchanged their drinks for short glasses filled with dark brown fluids. To match the new taste for scotch and bourbon whiskey, the sporty girls seemed to disappear and old men began to dominate conversations.

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John McCain and Sarah Palin: Fairfax Gallery

Ron Hilton caught some great shots at the McCain/Palin rally in Fairfax, Virginia. He was gracious enough to let us post them here for you:

Sarah Palin Virginia rally

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Countering Palin

The New York Times is reporting that Obama is developing a plan for all-female rapid-response teams to be sent around the country in an effort to counter Palin as she travels. A wise move.

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Reading Ahead

According to the McCain campaign via NRO, the teleprompter had a glitch throughout the entire Palin speech. It continued to roll without pause for applause and thus would have been badly out of sync for her. Had no effect at all that I could discern on her delivery. Pretty impressive actually.

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A Bitter Absolution for Sarah Palin

It would seem the innuendo campaign alleging the illegitimacy of Sarah Palin’s son Trig, inadvertantly uncovered a real family tragedy to media attention. As Jay Tea points out, the circumstances of that situation make it physically impossible for the campaign of whispers to have been true. Don’t wait for any apologies from the whisperers however.

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Sarah Nouveau Riche

She raised less than $500k for the Alaska governor’s race in 2006. But as McCain’s running mate, Palin’s inaugurated a seven million dollar surge in donations to the McCain campaign. Given the excitement (near ecstasy, really) on the political right over the selection, it’s not difficult to see why. Put her on a stage anywhere near conservative donors and collect, John.

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A Swift Retreat

Obama moves to distance himself from his own campaign’s harshly antagonistic rhetoric against Palin. Commendable, but probably unwise. Palin represents a direct threat to one of Obama’s core constituencies and thus it would be to his advantage to define her negatively and fast. Even if the ‘inexperience’ attack is hopelessly misguided for obvious reasons.

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Looking for an Angle of Attack

Politico notices that the initial attacks against Sarah Palin from the Obama campaign have been, well, fumbling and badly considered. They volunteer some help to the befuddled Obama Nation, by suggesting that Palin’s respect for Hillary Clinton’s complaints of sexism is, um, a little recent. True, but new or old, was she right in women’s view? A nettlesome matter there for Obama.

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Biden/Cheney 200X

Michael Goodwin concludes that the Biden pick is identical in cause and format to Bush’s selection of Dick Cheney in 2000. I tend to agree, but then I’ve been convinced for a long time that Obama’s entire campaign is all but explicitly modeled on Bush’s 2000 strategy and approach. Democrats often have the bad habit of thinking Republican marketing is smarter than it is.

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What Does Obama Own?

Is there an issue equivalent to McCain’s strength in certain foreign policy areas, where Obama can be said to dominate the debate? A worried group of Democratic leaders have concluded that there isn’t, and Obama’s appeal is a kind of a general-studies phenomenon in need of greater authority on specific issues. That’s trouble, as money can buy the commercial breaks during a policy debate, but it can’t buy the authority to command the debate itself.

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Russian Imperialism and the Election


(photo: Chris Dunn)

John Bolton argues that the future of Russian imperialism in Eurasia rides on the outcome of the US presidential election. Unsurprisingly, he pitches McCain: “First reactions, before the campaigns’ pollsters and consultants get involved are always the best indicators…McCain at once grasped the larger, geostrategic significance of Russia’s attack.”

That’s evidently a sentiment shared by the American electorate.

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QandO Podcast

McQ, Dale and I discuss the Russian campaign against Georgia over South Ossetia.

Generally I feel that our support should belong to Georgia. However, Georgia has severely miscalculated in this matter, and frankly our options are limited. At best, we get a negotiated settlement with Russia that retains Georgian sovereignty with the loss of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The US and NATO allowed to save face with some show of protecting Georgian airspace after the fact, with Russia suffering a black eye in international opinion. Maybe.

I am not sure I agree with Lee that we may get Nato peacekeepers in South Ossetia and this turns out negatively in the short term for Russia, but we can hope.

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The Virtues of Celebrity Foreign Policy

French Biography on Obama
(Photo: Alice E. Backer | blog)

Andrew Galasetti at Lyved is an extremely devoted admirer of Obama. While fanatical devotion can blind — Galasetti thinks for instance that the McCain celebrity charge backfired, when the polls suggest a different picture (last week Ras had +6 Obama, now it’s +1 McCain) — it can also be a benefit when you’re looking for someone to find hidden advantages in faults. Often there are adantages, particularly foreign policy advantages, wrapped up inside domestic political vulnerabilities.

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The Art of Trying too Hard


(photo: dgeuzen)

John Riley at Newsday is criticizing John McCain’s “Celeb” ad on the grounds that “anyone knows” Britney Spears and Paris Hilton just aren’t celebrity enough. Points for novelty at least.

To reinforce his argument, he cites the Forbes Celebrity 100 as proof positive of this. Where are they in the list Mr. McCain? Not there! Tsk. Clearly they’re not celebrities.

Ah, but if that wasn’t enough for you, Riley isn’t yet finished. Reaching deeper into whatever depths the above point came from, he detects a sinister gender and racial subtext informing ad:

[T]hey didn’t pick other big celebrities, who were either men, or black, or married. What they picked was two sexually available white women.

But it must have been a coincidence, because we know John McCain wants to run an elevated campaign focusing on the serious issues that America faces.
(Newsday)

You know, it’s honestly hard to imagine typing something that ludicrous. I’ve typed plenty of bad analysis in my time, don’t get me wrong. But this is cringe inducing.

If you’re against the McCain campaign or even just its marketing strategy, is it really so difficult (or far from the truth) to dismiss the ad as empty, trite, and needlessly cheapening of a very serious debate? By elevating a frankly rather irrelevant ad to the level of a harmful racist conspiracy, Mr. Riley’s only reducing himself far below it.

Nietzsche’s injunction that one should be careful not to become a monster when fighting one, might be shrunken here. One should be careful not to become a very petty mouse, when fighting mice.

(H/T: Blake Hounshell | Foreign Policy)

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McCain’s Social Surrender

Ben Adler observes the painfully obvious fact that McCain’s social media strategy is largely nonexistent, and ineptly executed where it does exist. Yeah, tell you something you didn’t know right? Well, I’m just wishing somebody would tell Mark Soohoo, McCain’s deputy e-campaign manager: “I think we have a strong online operation. It was good enough in the primaries.”

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Ban All Pointy Objects

It might sound like a bad t-shirt from a gun show, but I’m afraid it’s entirely true: Pat Regan, a prominent British anti-gun rights campaigner, who worked for years to abolish the private ownership of firearms in Britain…has been stabbed to death. Although I hate to make a political point on the back of a senseless and tragic murder, it is necessary to point out that crime and violence can and will always find a way. Violence thrives in a vacuum of values, not an abundance of bullets (or blades).

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Where’s The Youth?

The current dust-up over the Cuban-Che flag (flags?) hanging in the Houston campaign office for Barack Obama (opened by supporters, with actual staffers intended to occupy by next week), has spawned some interesting commentary. Captain Ed advised:

Oh, my. Barack Obama may want to call his new Houston office and suggest some decorating ideas…No, that’s not a Texas state flag with a picture of Obama on it. It’s the flag of the Castro-led Cuba regime, with Che Guevara’s face superimposed on the side. A Fox report from Houston captured this image as it showed Obama supporters celebrating his momentum after Super Tuesday.

Does Obama know his Houston supporters honor a terrorist in his campaign office? I’m sure he doesn’t. However, it would behoove him to ensure that the flag gets taken down and that he renounces any affinity for Che and the Fidel Castro regime.

Che-Flag

I really doubt that Obama has any idea either. But this is campaign season, and his refusal to wear a flag pin or put his hand on his heart during the pledge of allegiance opens him up to attack based on this sort of miscue by his supporters. I really don’t care about the flag pin (I don’t wear one either), but the hand-over-the-heart petulance does raise legitimate questions, IMHO.

In any case, the leftosphere is accusing the rightosphere of having apoplectic fits over this, and using “Rovian Swiftboaters,” with their prime target being Captain Ed (my emphasis).

Oh darn those college volunteers with their affinity for hacky-sack & Che Guevara!

It’s going to be another long, reality-deprived year from the GOP Operatives. Apparently, some young volunteer for the Obama campaign had the temerity to set up an office in Texas BEFORE Obama’s actual staffers arrived in Texas. This included someone taking something off their dorm room wall, a Cuban flag with a picture of Che Guevara on it. This sent Captain Ed to the nitro tablets and asthma respirator.

It seems someone hasn’t been on a college campus in thirty-five years. Where youthful affectation with revolucion long ago replaced pictures of “Happiness is a Warm Puppy”. Oh those kids today with their I-Phones, their I-Pods, and their I-deas.

Up next, college-age Hillary Volunteer wears “Bush Sucks” T-Shirt. Ed Morrissey faints.

James Joyner attempts to the split the difference:

[Captan Ed is] right that Che is a terrorist who shouldn’t be honored by decent people. Che worship (or, alternatively, the wearing of Che t-shirts as a statement without the slightest clue of who he was) seems to be a phase that certain left-leaning activists go through in their youth; it generally passes. Driscoll’s characterization of it as “juvenilia” is spot on.

But, surely, Obama doesn’t need to publicly weigh in on the decorating choices of every low level staffer? Let alone “renounce” affinities which he’s never shown?

I sure didn’t take from Captain Ed’s post (or Charles Johnson’s) that he wanted Obama to take a loyalty oath (as Joyner later suggests), and I’m not sure why suggesting that Obama distance himself from such an idiotic display of anti-Americanism is going beyond the pale. Captain Ed was simply encouraging Obama to have his Sister Souljah moment, which seems like pretty good political advice.

But the most irritating thing about the apologia is the persistent inference that this was a youthful transgression. First of all, take a look at the picture and point out to me where this “youth” is. Do you see any college kids in that picture? Are there no adults in charge there? Don’t the women in the picture bear some responsibility here?

Secondly, why should anyone be even remotely complacent about the seemingly accepted fact that “youths” have no compunction about displaying the likeness of a mass murderer in the dorm rooms, on the their chests, and in their volunteer headquarters? Have we just given up on teaching any semblance of what’s right and wrong, acceptable and unacceptable? If the flag was instead a revolucion flag from Chile with Pinochet’s Pinochet flaghirsute mug gracing it, would the left be as complacent about that? How about Mao or Pol Pot? Is Mugabe OK, or Hugo Chavez? Where exactly does the line get drawn for which statist terrorists may grace the clothing and walls of “youths” before it becomes a fashion faux pas?

Oh, and for the record, here’s a little history on the source of that flag:

I came across a flag which is very usual in demonstantions and events of the youth organization of the portuguese communist party (J.C.P. / P.C.P.). It consists of a cuban flag defaced with the likeness of the mythical communist hero Ernesto “Che” Guevara. A similar flag, all red with black elements and bearing at times the cuban slogan “hasta la victoria siempre” (”towards the victory, always”). I’m not sure if any of these are used by communists anywhere else, namely in Cuba, but it is most likely.
Antonio Martins, 26 December 1999

This non-Cuban “Che flag” is or was, according to Jaume Olle’, used by a ultra left guerrilla group in Guatemala. I used darker colours because flags appear with darker colours. These flags are, of course, unofficial, so the shade here is basicaly a matter of taste, but they are usually used with darker colours than those we have in the Cuban national flag.
Jorge Candeias, 27 December 1999

Getting back to the genesis of this story, I really doubt that this will have much of an effect on Obama’s campaign. Those whom are already against an Obama presidency, aren’t going to be any further swayed by the fact that he has the support of communist sympathizers. By the same token, neither are those on the left with an affinity for Obama (even if they are voting for Hillary) going to be moved, since they seem to have little problem with communist sympathizers being in their midst (to their eternal shame, I might add). And anyone who is part of the undecided middle in this race, probably isn’t even going become aware of this little fiasco, since they likely don’t pay much attention to politics outside what they here on the evening news.

Indeed, the only real eye-opener here is that apparently a number of people think that mythical-Marxist hero worship is nothing more than a college kid fad, and they’re okay with the next generation being that stupid. I guess I’m just not.

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Ronpaul’s Millions

Ronpaulism

One of the sadder aspects of Ronpaul’s candidacy is how many people (who can barely afford to do so), have been convinced to give well over their means to his campaign. My friend Jason has a co-worker who he believes took out a second mortgage solely to give more money to Ronpaul, convinced that he was “America’s LAST CHANCE!!!” A commenter on a Vaughn Ververs post at CBS News isn’t sympathetic to their plight, but he does tell the truth: “LOL. Ron Paul pulled off the perfect swindle of his fawning disciples. He took them for $30 million, most of which he did not spend, and now will two-step on back to Texas with the rest of the loot.” What do you suppose he will do with that enormous windfall? We might soon see “Director of Ronpaul Institute” appearing under Lew Rockwell’s name.

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Utah Against Huckabee


Photo: Wolfgang Staudt

Ken at Oblogatory Anecdotes, along with many other Mormon Romney supporters, is naturally very disappointed about Mitt’s withdrawal from the Republican race. Like many Mormons Ken is convinced Romney was defeated “for the most part because of his affiliation with Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints.” But unlike some, Ken places the blame squarely and solely on everyone’s favorite liberation theologist, Mike Huckabee.

Ken goes so far as to say that “Huckabee’s main motivation for entering and staying in the race is his hatred of Mormons.” While that’s clearly a bit much, it’s a view he says is commonly held among Mormons in Utah. Ken goes on to predict that Utah may vote Democrat if Huckabee is named he VP by McCain. While Utah deserting the GOP for Hillary or Obama seems like a fantastically remote possibility, consider that in the state, opposition to Huckabee is indeed very fierce. In the Utah primary the crypto-theocrat finished dead last (behind even Ronpaul), with a mere 1% of the vote. The worst defeat Huckabee has suffered anywhere.

It’s just a thought, but it might be useful for secular and economic conservative opponents of Huckabee to explore an alliance with concerned Mormons, to exert pressure on the McCain campaign to resist the temptation for the dreaded “ecumenical reform coalition.” Surely it is asking too much of loyal Republican Mormons in Utah to vote for a man they widely perceive to be a bigot against their faith. Of course, McCain has rarely proven sensitive to pressure from within the party, so it may be a useless exercise.

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Beautiful Obama

 Barack Obama Logo

Whatever else happens, Barack Obama has the most elegant and beautiful campaign website I’ve ever seen. I’m not sure when they switched to this latest design, as I haven’t been back there in awhile, but it’s really gorgeously done …. even if the logo does still look like Trinity at 0.025 seconds on the US flag.

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Fighting the Death of Germany

You Are Germany

75% of Germans believe that their society is hostile to children. That’s a toxic attitude to combine with an appalling 1.3 children-per-woman fertility rate. Well below the replacement rate, the country is literally dying out over time. To attack the problem, a consortium of German advertising agencies and media firms have launched a €30 million campaign Du bist Deutschland (”You Are Germany”), to try to promote tolerance for children: Video report. What is one to think of a country that hates its own future, and has to be pleaded with to tolerate the only instrument for the perpetuation of its cultural patrimony?

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Reflections on Fred

Fred Thompson

This was a post better suited for yesterday and Fred’s withdrawal, but I suppose I let myself get distracted without posting it. It should go without saying that while I was unsurprised by the event, it was nevertheless disappointing. But not so much because we are now bereft of any reasonable alternative in the Republican field, but because it seems to confirm that registered Republicans by a large margin, are using unwelcome criteria to evaluate candidates. In fairness, that impression has been with me throughout Fred’s campaign, since I’d found myself to be fond of Thompson because of the reasons he failed to appeal to almost everyone else.

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Obama Goes National

Barack Obama launches the first nation-wide television advertising campaign (cable tv spot on CNN and MSNBC). Team Hillary is upset about the violation to the DNC Florida campaigning boycott. She’s probably more upset by how strong this ad is.

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