Body Counts

Despite claims to the contrary, almost all assessments point to reduced violence in Iraq since the surge began in June, from military, Iraqi government, and third parties. Some of the violence has shifted, especially to the north. Total numbers killed, despite claims that some deaths are not being counted for not being sectarian or other reasons, including all violent deaths are also down significantly. The New York Times once again gives some of the best and most even handed coverage of the issue:

Still, the trend is similar: both the American and the Iraqi reports note a roughly 50 percent drop in the number of civilians who have been killed since the end of 2006. According to Iraqi government data, the number of civilians nationwide who died as a result of violent causes dropped to about 2,000 in August from about 4,000 in December 2006. American military statistics shows that the number of civilian deaths declined to 1,582 in August from 2,989 in December.

“All major categories of violence have been trending downward over the course of the year, according to most primary data sources, be they American, Iraqi or nongovernmental,” said Michael O’Hanlon, the senior author of the Iraq Index, a database on Iraq maintained by the Brookings Institution. “This includes the overall civilian fatality count from all violent causes.”

Iraq Body Count, a British-based nongovernmental group that monitors civilian deaths, notes that the number of civilians who were killed by shootings, executions and bombs has declined from January through July. The organization says its August figures are not yet available. Despite the reduction, the group notes that violence still runs high.

Still horrendous carnage, but denying the progress serves no purpose. Hopefully if the operations in the north are as effective as those around Baghdad we will see yet more improvement along with the surprising drop in coalition casualties. The question is where will they flee to next?

[tags] Iraq, war, casualties, civilian casualties, Brookings, Iraq Body Count, O’ Hanlon [/tags]

About Lance

I want to thank everybody who has encouraged me over the past few years to do this. I doubt it will hold but a few people's interest, but that is okay with me. Special thanks go to Peter over at http://www.liberalcapitalist.com. I value my privacy a great deal, so I will guess you will have to get to know me over time to find out much. I am in the financial services, wealth management, investing or whatever you want to call it business. I have children, my oldest is entering college. I have no great or imposing academic background, my grades varied from high enough to get invited to an honors program at my university to frustrating enough to cause my father great grief. My major was history, with a minor in ethics. My main interest towards the end was in the history of economic ideas before life took a turn and I ended up never going on to graduate school. However, I have a fair knowledge of history, economics, investing and would probably be considered well read. My tastes are eclectic and I pretty much find the entire world interesting. I have an enduring interest in how people learn about and analyze the world; my posts here will examine this topic in detail over time. I make no claims to be above the very biases and errors I see in others, in fact it is my belief that we are incapable of escaping them, only moderating their control over us. I am a member of no political party, but I would broadly consider myself a man of the right. I am inclined to free market economics, limited government and a fairly narrow view of the role of the state. A small L libertarian if you will. However, if you are looking for broad based "the left believes..." or "wingers are so...." types of attacks on liberals, conservatives, neo-cons or whatever enemy you want to slam, look elsewhere. Lance
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2 Responses to Body Counts

  1. Don says:

    . . . denying the progress serves no purpose.

    Surly you jest.

    The DNC has plenty of reasons to deny progress.

  2. Lance says:

    Surly you jest.

    At first I thought you meant to write surely, then I figured, no, that is probably right. Agreed, I jest, and it does make me surly;^)

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